Female 25-29 growth rate linked to child population growth
Comparing Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth rate with Population ages 25-29, female, annual growth rate across 185 countries, 2030–2030.
- Rank correlation
- +0.69
- Holding size constant
- +0.63
- Countries compared
- 185
- Period
- 2030–2030
What might link these
The relationship between these indicators might be linked through fertility rates, as growth in the female population of childbearing age could contribute to an increase in child population. A careful reader should be cautious about assuming causation and consider other factors such as education and family planning access. Urbanization is a likely confounder that could influence both indicators.
Why this is not proof of anything
This is a correlation across countries, not an experiment. It cannot show that either indicator causes the other, and both may simply follow a third thing. This correlation could mislead by implying a direct causal link between the two indicators, when in fact other demographic and socioeconomic factors may be driving the relationship.
The second figure above repeats the measurement with national population and income held constant. It is the more conservative number: a relationship that largely disappears there was mostly telling you that larger, richer countries have more of most things.
How this was measured
Both indicators were ranked across every country reporting each, and the two rankings compared — ranks rather than raw values, because a handful of very large countries can otherwise manufacture a relationship on their own. The calculation is arithmetic over figures already published on this site; the commentary above is drafted from the two indicator names and the resulting coefficients.