Child growth rate linked to young female population
Comparing Child population (UN estimates and projections) (0-14), annual growth rate with Population ages 0-14, female, per capita across 185 countries, 2030–2030.
- Rank correlation
- +0.72
- Holding size constant
- +0.66
- Countries compared
- 185
- Period
- 2030–2030
What might link these
The relationship between child population growth rate and the per capita population of females aged 0-14 might be driven by factors such as fertility rates or access to education. A careful reader should consider the potential impact of urbanization, which could influence both indicators. Urbanization could be a likely confounder here.
Why this is not proof of anything
This is a correlation across countries, not an experiment. It cannot show that either indicator causes the other, and both may simply follow a third thing. This correlation might mislead because it does not account for other demographic factors that could drive both child population growth and the proportion of young females.
The second figure above repeats the measurement with national population and income held constant. It is the more conservative number: a relationship that largely disappears there was mostly telling you that larger, richer countries have more of most things.
How this was measured
Both indicators were ranked across every country reporting each, and the two rankings compared — ranks rather than raw values, because a handful of very large countries can otherwise manufacture a relationship on their own. The calculation is arithmetic over figures already published on this site; the commentary above is drafted from the two indicator names and the resulting coefficients.